NBA Picks for Tuesday, December 30, 2025: Derrick White Rebounds, Jaylen Brown Threes Props to Target
Hoops fans have a loaded slate on Tuesday, December 30, 2025, with the Boston Celtics facing the Utah Jazz in a matchup ripe for NBA player props betting picks. We're honing in on two standout opportunities from Boston's backcourt: Derrick White OVER 4.5 rebounds and Jaylen Brown OVER 1.5 threes.
These props stand out due to scorching recent hit rates and a favorable matchup against a Jazz squad struggling defensively.
Derrick White - REBOUNDS OVER 4.5
Derrick White is crashing the boards with authority, clearing 4.5 rebounds at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 80% in the last 10, and 70% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
White's rebounding surge ties directly to his expanded role in Boston's rotation, where he's logging 34+ minutes per game lately and averaging 5.8 rebounds over the last 10 outings. His consistency stems from aggressive positioning on the perimeter and capitalizing on second-chance opportunities in transition.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with 6+ rebounds in four straight amid Boston's up-tempo pace.
- L10 games: 80% hit rate (8/10), maintaining volume even versus physical frontcourts.
- L20 games: 70% success (14/20), proving long-term reliability as a starter grabbing 5.2 rebounds per game overall.
"Tatum-less Celtics are inspiring"
Matchup Analysis
The Jazz rank 26th in opponent guard rebounds allowed, surrendering 15.2 per game to perimeter players, which plays right into White's strengths with no relevant H2H data to contradict. Utah's loose box-out discipline leaves plenty of long rebounds for athletic guards like White to snag.
Boston enters with momentum from a resilient stretch, embodying their "never say die" ethos even without key stars, setting up a high-energy affair projected for 228 total points.
This prop is a lock based on White's trends, Utah's weaknesses, and Boston's gritty context.
Derrick White
BOS vs UTA
Jaylen Brown - THREES OVER 1.5
Jaylen Brown is heating up from deep, eclipsing 1.5 threes at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 80% in the last 10, and 65% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Brown's three-point volume has spiked with 18+ field goal attempts per game recently, drilling 2.9 threes at 38% efficiency over L10. His pull-up game and off-ball movement make him a consistent threat, especially in high-usage spots.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), draining 3+ threes in three of those with elevated shot creation.
- L10 games: 80% hit rate (8/10), thriving amid lineup tweaks boosting his touches.
- L20 games: 65% success (13/20), delivering steady long-range reliability at 2.4 makes per game.
"The Celtics never say die"
Matchup Analysis
Utah sits 24th in opponent threes allowed, giving up 14.8 per game while ranking 28th in defensive efficiency against wings—no H2H data alters this exploitable flaw against Brown's shooter-friendly style.
The Celtics' inspiring run without Tatum opens more green lights for Brown in a game ripe for pace, with Joe Mazzulla's squad fresh off a quiet Christmas idle since 2015.
Bank on this prop cashing handily with Brown's form and Utah's porous perimeter defense.
Jaylen Brown
BOS vs UTA