NBA Picks for Wednesday, January 7, 2026: Bruce Brown Rebounds + Assists, Kyle Kuzma Rebounds Props to Target
Wednesday, January 7, 2026, delivers a packed NBA slate loaded with prime player prop betting opportunities. We're honing in on two standout NBA player props: Bruce Brown's Rebounds + Assists Over 5.5 as the Nuggets face the Celtics, and Kyle Kuzma's Rebounds Over 3.5 with the Bucks taking on the Warriors. These picks shine thanks to scorching recent hit rates and exploitable matchups.
Bruce Brown - Rebounds + Assists Over 5.5
Bruce Brown has been a rebounding and passing machine lately, clearing 5.5 at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 70% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Brown's expanded role off the Denver bench has fueled his production, where he's averaging 7.8 rebounds + assists over the last 10 games while logging 29 minutes per night. His consistency stems from smart positioning on the glass and opportunistic playmaking in transition, making this prop highly reliable even in tougher rotations.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with an average of 8.4 RA including three games over 9 as he feasts on second-chance opportunities.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), maintaining steady minutes amid lineup tweaks and delivering in high-pace contests.
- L20 games: 70% success (14/20), with dips only during a brief minutes restriction but now fully ramped up for reliability.
"The NBA trade deadline is the busiest and most hectic day of the year in basketball."
Matchup Analysis
The Celtics boast a top-tier defense, ranking 4th in overall efficiency, but they rank 18th in opponent rebounds + assists allowed to wings, vulnerable to versatile defenders like Brown who crash the boards. No H2H data exists, but Boston's aggressive trapping leaves extra rebound chances and assist lanes open.
Denver enters with strong momentum post-holiday break, projected for a 228.5 total that favors transition plays where Brown thrives. With the trade deadline buzz heating up, Nuggets coach Michael Malone leans on Brown's steady hand in crunch time.
This prop is a lock based on Brown's streaks and Boston's matchup gaps.
Kyle Kuzma
MIL vs GSW
Kyle Kuzma - Rebounds Over 3.5
Kyle Kuzma is dominating the glass for Milwaukee, surpassing 3.5 at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Kuzma's insertion into the Bucks' frontcourt rotation has boosted his rebounding average to 5.2 per game across his last 10 outings, playing 26 minutes with a focus on defensive positioning. His length and motor make him a vacuum on contested boards, turning this low line into a high-floor bet.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), pulling down 6.0 rebounds per game on average with two double-digit efforts amid increased power forward minutes.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), consistent even against physical foes, showcasing improved box-out technique.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), reliable long-term with upticks tied to his growing role post-trade rumors.
"The NBA’s last day to make deals is particularly fun because every team, whether good or bad, gets in on the action."
Matchup Analysis
Golden State ranks 22nd in opponent rebounds allowed, particularly weak inside where smaller lineups get exposed, handing 45.2 rebounds per game to forwards. No H2H data, but the Warriors' pace-and-space style creates chaos on the glass favoring Kuzma's athleticism.
Milwaukee rides a hot streak with Giannis demanding doubles, opening rebound paths for Kuzma in a game projected Over 235 points. Trade deadline speculation adds edge, but Doc Rivers trusts Kuzma's versatility here.
Bank on Kuzma clearing 3.5 rebounds – trends and Warriors' flaws seal the deal.
Bruce Brown
DEN vs BOS