NBA Picks for Sunday, January 11, 2026: CJ McCollum Rebounds & Points Props to Target
Sunday, January 11, 2026, delivers thrilling NBA matchups, highlighted by the Atlanta Hawks taking on the Golden State Warriors. NBA player props offer fantastic betting picks today, and we're zeroing in on CJ McCollum with two elite options: rebounds over 2.5 and points over 13.5. His blistering recent hit rates and favorable context make these props can't-miss targets.
CJ McCollum - REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
CJ McCollum has been a rebounding machine for the Hawks lately, clearing 2.5 rebounds at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 80% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
McCollum's rebounding surge stems from increased minutes and aggressive positioning, averaging 4.2 rebounds per game over his last 10 contests while logging 32.4 minutes nightly. This consistency highlights his expanded role post-roster shakeup, turning a modest line into a reliable NBA player props bet.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with at least 3 rebounds each time, peaking at 6 in a double-double effort.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), bolstered by his starting role and crashing the glass on 70% of misses.
- L20 games: 80% success (16/20), proving long-term reliability even in varied lineups.
"Trae Young’s mid-game trade from the Hawks to the Wizards had the entire NBA world talking -- and superfan Boosie Badazz reacted courtside in real time."
Matchup Analysis
The Warriors rank 24th in opponent rebounds allowed to shooting guards, surrendering 5.8 boards per game to the position amid their small-ball schemes. With no H2H data, Golden State's perimeter-focused defense leaves the glass vulnerable, perfectly suiting McCollum's crashing style.
Atlanta's recent 117-100 rout of the Pelicans showcased offensive momentum, and Trae Young's trade opens up rebound chances for McCollum in a projected 225 total points game with fast pace.
This rebounds prop is a lock based on trends, matchup edges, and Hawks' roster boost.
CJ McCollum
ATL vs GSW
CJ McCollum - POINTS OVER 13.5
CJ McCollum is lighting up the scoreboard consistently, surpassing 13.5 points at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 85% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
McCollum's scoring efficiency has spiked with more touches, averaging 19.6 points on 47.2% shooting from the field in his last 10 games, including 3.1 threes made per outing. This makes the low line a slam-dunk NBA player props pick amid his usage surge.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), dropping 18+ points each, with efficient mid-range pull-ups.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), fueled by 16.2 field goal attempts amid role expansion.
- L20 games: 85% success (17/20), solid even against tougher defenses.
"During their 117-100 win over the Pelicans on ..."
Matchup Analysis
Golden State sits 22nd in points allowed to shooting guards, giving up 20.4 points per game due to inconsistent backcourt stops. No H2H data exists, but the Warriors' switch-heavy scheme plays into McCollum's isolation prowess and spot-up shooting.
The Hawks' post-trade clarity boosts McCollum's shot volume in a matchup favoring overs, with Atlanta's recent win signaling offensive firepower against a Warriors squad prone to blowouts.
This points prop is primed to cash, backed by scorching stats and ideal context.
CJ McCollum
ATL vs GSW