NBA Picks for Tuesday, January 13, 2026: Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 Rebounds, Zaccharie Risacher Over 3.5 Rebounds Props to Target
Tuesday, January 13, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with prime betting opportunities in player props. We're targeting two standout rebound props: Chet Holmgren over 8.5 rebounds against the Spurs and Zaccharie Risacher over 3.5 rebounds versus the Lakers. These picks leverage scorching recent hit rates and favorable matchups for consistent cash.
Chet Holmgren - REBOUNDS OVER 8.5
Chet Holmgren has been a rebounding machine lately, dominating the glass with authority for the Thunder. He's cleared 8.5 rebounds at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 80% in the last 10, and 55% across the last 20, showcasing his growing role as OKC's primary rim protector.
The Statistical Edge
Holmgren's rebounding trends point to sustained dominance, averaging 9.8 rebounds per game over his last 10 outings while logging 32+ minutes nightly. His consistency stems from elite positioning and OKC's pace, making this line ripe for another hit against a vulnerable Spurs frontcourt.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), with 10.2 rebounds average including two double-doubles.
- L10 games: 80% hit rate (8/10), bolstered by increased usage after minor lineup tweaks.
- L20 games: 55% success (11/20), reliable despite tougher opponents, averaging 9.1 boards.
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Matchup Analysis
The Spurs rank in the bottom 10 for opponent rebounds allowed, yielding 45.2 per game to bigs, and Holmgren hits just a 33% H2H rate in 3 games but faces a shorthanded frontcourt missing key rotation pieces. San Antonio's switch-heavy defense leaves boards exposed for athletic centers like Chet.
OKC enters with momentum from a five-game win streak, projecting a high-scoring affair over 225 total points. Holmgren's minutes are locked in at 34+, amplifying rebound chances.
This prop is a lock based on Holmgren's trends, volume, and Spurs' weaknesses.
Chet Holmgren
OKC vs SAS
Zaccharie Risacher - REBOUNDS OVER 3.5
Zaccharie Risacher is heating up on the boards for Atlanta, consistently grabbing extra possessions in his rookie role. He's smashed 3.5 rebounds at a perfect 100% clip over his last 5 games, 80% in the last 10, and 50% across the last 20, thriving with more touches.
The Statistical Edge
Risacher's recent surge features a 4.6 rebound average in his last five, paired with 28 minutes per game as Atlanta leans on his length. His athleticism shines in transition and second-chance opportunities, pushing this low line well within reach.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), hauling in 5+ rebounds each time amid expanded role.
- L10 games: 80% hit rate (8/10), steady despite variable minutes, focusing on hustle plays.
- L20 games: 50% success (10/20), building reliability as primary wing rebounder.
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Matchup Analysis
No H2H data exists yet, but the Lakers struggle against wings, allowing 12.4 rebounds per game to small forwards while LeBron's declining mobility opens lanes. LAL's pace favors Risacher's crash-and-rebound style in a projected up-tempo clash.
Atlanta rides a hot streak with Risacher's minutes surging to 30+ projected, especially versus a Lakers squad dealing with rating dips and fatigue. Game script screams rebound opportunities for the Hawks' rookie.
This prop is primed to hit, fueled by Risacher's streak and Lakers' vulnerabilities.
Zaccharie Risacher
ATL vs LAL