NBA Picks for Thursday, January 15, 2026: Jerami Grant Rebounds & Franz Wagner Rebounds + Assists Props to Target
Thursday, January 15, 2026, features a loaded NBA slate loaded with prime player prop betting opportunities. We're honing in on Jerami Grant to clear 2.5 rebounds for the Portland Trail Blazers against the Atlanta Hawks and Franz Wagner to exceed 7.5 rebounds + assists for the Orlando Magic versus the Memphis Grizzlies. These NBA player props stand out due to elite recent hit rates and favorable matchups.
Jerami Grant - REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
Jerami Grant has been a rebounding machine lately, consistently clearing 2.5 rebounds at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 85% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Grant's rebounding consistency shines through his expanded role in Portland's frontcourt, averaging 6.8 rebounds over the last 10 games while logging 35+ minutes nightly, making this low line a no-brainer for NBA betting picks.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with 7.2 rebounds per game average and multiple double-digit boards.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), bolstered by increased usage after lineup tweaks.
- L20 games: 85% success (17/20), proving long-term reliability even in tough outings.
"The trade deadline is a month away, and though a deal is yet to be made this season, teams are checking on players around the league with the hopes of making the right move to go on a title run."
Matchup Analysis
The Hawks rank in the bottom 10 for opponent rebounds per game, allowing 46.2 boards to forwards, with no H2H data but Atlanta's fast-paced style leading to extra possessions for Grant to crash the glass.
Portland enters with momentum from a recent win streak, and amid trade buzz, expect Grant to see heavy minutes in a projected high-total game around 225 points.
This prop is a lock based on Grant's trends and the Hawks' defensive lapses.
Jerami Grant
POR vs ATL
Franz Wagner - REBOUNDS_ASSISTS OVER 7.5
Franz Wagner is surging in combined rebounds and assists, hitting 7.5 at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 90% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Wagner's all-around play has elevated Orlando's offense, posting 5.4 rebounds + 4.1 assists average lately with 37 minutes per game, turning this prop into a staple for NBA player props bettors.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), fueled by 9.6 combined average and key playmaking bursts.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), with steady role amid Orlando's balanced attack.
- L20 games: 90% success (18/20), highlighting his dependable floor in various game scripts.
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Matchup Analysis
Memphis struggles against wings, ranking 22nd in rebounds + assists allowed to small forwards at 11.8 per game, and with no H2H data, their perimeter defense favors Wagner's board-crashing and passing lanes.
The Magic boast top-5 offense lately, with Wagner thriving in up-tempo games projected over 220 points, free from injury concerns in the rotation.
Wagner smashing this prop is a surefire bet given his hot streak and Memphis vulnerabilities.
Franz Wagner
ORL vs MEM