NBA Picks for Monday, January 26, 2026: Jaylen Brown, Al Horford Rebounds Props to Target
Monday, January 26, 2026, features a packed NBA slate ripe for player prop betting opportunities. Among the standout NBA player props, we're honing in on Jaylen Brown OVER 6.5 rebounds as Boston faces Portland and Al Horford OVER 4.5 rebounds with Golden State taking on Minnesota. These rebounds props boast elite hit rates recently, making them prime betting picks against favorable matchups.
Jaylen Brown - REBOUNDS OVER 6.5
Jaylen Brown has been a rebounding machine for the Celtics, clearing 6.5 rebounds at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Brown's consistency on the boards shines through in his recent averages, pulling down 8.2 rebounds per game over the last 10 outings while logging 36 minutes nightly. His role as a key secondary option alongside Boston's stars has amplified his opportunities, especially in games where he crashes the glass aggressively, hitting the over in high-pace contests.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), with Brown grabbing at least 7 boards in four straight before a quieter night.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), showcasing his expanded role amid minor lineup tweaks for better spacing.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), proving long-term reliability even against tougher frontcourts.
"With the NBA’s regular season just past its halfway point, we’ve already seen plenty of stellar action."
Matchup Analysis
Portland ranks in the bottom third defensively for opponent rebounds allowed, surrendering 46.2 per game to wings like Brown who exploit their slower bigs. No H2H data exists recently, but Portland's tendency to concede second-chance opportunities plays right into Brown's athleticism on the glass.
Boston enters with strong momentum post-midseason, fresh off high marks in team grades amid trade ripples like the Hawks' deal. Expect a projected total around 225 points, favoring rebound-heavy play from Brown in a fast-paced affair.
This prop is a lock based on Brown's scorching trends and Portland's vulnerabilities.
Jaylen Brown
BOS vs POR
Al Horford - REBOUNDS OVER 4.5
Al Horford continues to deliver steady rebounding value for Golden State, surpassing 4.5 rebounds at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 80% in the last 10, and 65% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Horford's veteran savvy has him averaging 5.8 rebounds in recent minutes around 28 per game, thriving in Golden State's switch-heavy scheme that positions him perfectly for contested boards. His hit rate holds firm despite occasional rest, underscoring his floor as a reliable prop target.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), including double-digit efforts in back-to-back wins where he cleaned up misses.
- L10 games: 80% hit rate (8/10), bolstered by consistent starter minutes amid frontcourt rotations.
- L20 games: 65% success (13/20), with reliability spiking in favorable paces post-trade deadline buzz.
"With more than half of NBA teams having reached the halfway point of their seasons, it’s high time we assess how teams are traveling in relation to their internal expectations."
Matchup Analysis
Minnesota struggles against stretch bigs, allowing 12.4 rebounds per game to opposing centers, a tailor-made spot for Horford. Lacking H2H data, the Wolves' aggressive help defense leaves lanes open for Horford's positioning.
Golden State rides midseason momentum with solid Atlantic-adjacent grades influencing West contenders, setting up a gritty battle projected at 218 total points where Horford feasts on long rebounds.
Horford's prop screams value and is primed to cash given his form and Minnesota's weaknesses.
Al Horford
GSW vs MIN
