NBA Picks for Thursday, January 29, 2026: Andrew Wiggins Rebounds, Ausar Thompson Steals Props to Target
Thursday, January 29, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with prime betting opportunities in NBA player props. Sports bettors should zero in on Andrew Wiggins grabbing the OVER 4.5 rebounds for the Miami Heat against the Chicago Bulls and Ausar Thompson exceeding 1.5 steals for the Detroit Pistons versus the Phoenix Suns. These picks stand out based on scorching recent hit rates and favorable matchups.
Andrew Wiggins - REBOUNDS OVER 4.5
Andrew Wiggins has been a rebounding machine lately, clearing 4.5 rebounds at an impressive 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and a solid 75% across the last 20. His role in Miami's frontcourt has expanded, making him a key piece on the glass.
The Statistical Edge
Wiggins boasts consistent minutes around 32 per game recently, translating to ample opportunities on the boards where he averages 6.1 rebounds over his last 10 outings. His positioning and athleticism shine against smaller lineups, fueling this prop's high success rate.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), with 6.4 rebounds per game average including back-to-back double-digit efforts.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), maintaining steady production even in losses as Miami leans on his versatility.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), proving long-term reliability amid lineup tweaks.
"Norman Powell hit seven 3-pointers and scored 36 points as the visiting Miami Heat won their fourth straight game, defeating the Eastern Conference-leading Detroit Pistons 118-112 on Thursday night."
Matchup Analysis
The Bulls rank in the bottom 10 for opponent rebounds allowed per game, surrendering 46.2 boards to forwards lately, with no H2H data but Chicago's perimeter focus leaving gaps inside. Wiggins exploits these weaknesses, grabbing contested boards against their thinner frontcourt.
Miami rides a four-game win streak, boosting pace and possessions that favor rebound chasers like Wiggins. Expect a high total around 225 points, creating chaos on the glass.
This prop is a lock based on Wiggins' trends and Miami's hot streak.
Andrew Wiggins
MIA vs CHI
Ausar Thompson - STEALS OVER 1.5
Ausar Thompson is terrorizing ball-handlers, surpassing 1.5 steals at a perfect 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 60% across the last 20. His defensive instincts make him a steal machine in Detroit's scheme.
The Statistical Edge
Thompson logs 28 minutes per game on average lately, generating 2.3 steals per contest over L10 with his length disrupting passing lanes. His activity level spikes in fast-paced games, aligning perfectly for this prop.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), averaging 2.6 steals with multiple multi-steal outings in wins.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), thriving as a starter with increased ball pressure responsibilities.
- L20 games: 60% success (12/20), showing reliability despite occasional off-nights in blowouts.
"NBA roundup: Heat top East-leading Pistons in 4th straight win: Norman Powell hit seven 3-pointers and scored 36 points as the visiting Miami Heat won their fourth straight game, defeating the Eastern Conference-leading Detroit Pistons 118-112 on Thursday night."
Matchup Analysis
Phoenix coughs up 15.8 turnovers per game, ranking poor in steals allowed to wings, with no H2H data but Suns' ball-dominant guards like Booker playing into Thompson's strengths. Detroit's pressure defense amplifies his steal potential.
The Pistons hold the East's top spot despite a recent slip, projecting a gritty battle with 220+ total points that heightens turnover risks for Phoenix.
Ausar Thompson's OVER 1.5 steals is primed to cash given his form and the matchup.
Ausar Thompson
DET vs PHX