NBA Picks for Saturday, February 7, 2026: Jusuf Nurkic Points Over 10.5, Jaylon Tyson Threes Over 1.5 Props to Target
Saturday, February 7, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with prime betting opportunities in player props. Sports bettors should zero in on Jusuf Nurkic's points over 10.5 against the Orlando Magic and Jaylon Tyson's threes over 1.5 versus the Sacramento Kings. These NBA player props stand out due to scorching recent hit rates and favorable matchups.
Jusuf Nurkic - POINTS OVER 10.5
Jusuf Nurkic has been a model of consistency inside for the Utah Jazz, clearing 10.5 points at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 85% across the last 20. His role as the primary big man ensures steady scoring chances.
The Statistical Edge
Nurkic's scoring reliability shines through elevated usage and minutes in recent outings, averaging double digits effortlessly while feasting on putbacks and post-ups. His field goal efficiency around the rim bolsters the case for this prop in high-pace games.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with multiple double-digit scoring nights including free throws and offensive rebounds converting to easy buckets.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), showcasing unwavering consistency even amid team struggles, locking in his minutes and touches.
- L20 games: 85% success (17/20), proving long-term reliability as Utah's go-to interior scorer.
"Bam Adebayo recorded his 16th double-double of the season with 26 points and 15 rebounds... Heat to a 147-116 win over the Utah Jazz."
Matchup Analysis
The Orlando Magic present a juicy matchup for Nurkic, ranking in the bottom half for points allowed to opposing centers with weak interior defense vulnerable to physical bigs. No H2H data exists, but Orlando's tendency to switch leaves gaps for Nurkic's hook shots and glass work.
Utah comes off a rough 147-116 loss to Miami, motivating a bounce-back effort where Nurkic should see 30+ minutes in a revenge spot. Expect a gritty game with the Jazz leaning on their big for production against Orlando's uptempo style.
This prop is a lock based on Nurkic's trends, volume, and the Magic's defensive lapses.
Jusuf Nurkic
UTA vs ORL
Jaylon Tyson - THREES OVER 1.5
Jaylon Tyson is heating up from deep for the Cleveland Cavaliers, draining over 1.5 threes at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 70% across the last 20. His expanded role has unlocked green light shooting volume.
The Statistical Edge
Tyson's three-point stroke has surged with better spacing and off-ball movement, pushing his attempts per game into high territory while maintaining solid percentages from beyond the arc in key minutes.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), splashing multiple threes nightly amid increased shot creation opportunities.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), with role expansion leading to more catch-and-shoot looks and pull-ups.
- L20 games: 70% success (14/20), highlighting growing reliability as a perimeter threat.
"Pelle Larsson added 20 points to lead the Miami Heat to a 147-116 win over the Utah Jazz on Saturday in Salt Lake City."
Matchup Analysis
Sacramento's perimeter defense ranks poorly, allowing opponents to exceed 1.5 threes at a high clip against wings, with no H2H data but exploitable closeouts favoring Tyson's quick release. The Kings' aggressive help defense opens driving lanes that Tyson converts into kick-out threes.
Cleveland rides momentum into this clash, projecting a total over 220 points in a fast-paced affair where Tyson thrives in second-unit bursts. Coaching emphasizes shooting, amplifying his volume against Sacramento's sieve-like outer D.
This prop screams value with Tyson's hot streak and the Kings' weaknesses aligning perfectly.
Jaylon Tyson
CLE vs SAC
