NBA Picks for Thursday, February 19, 2026: Moses Moody Points + Rebounds, Onyeka Okongwu Threes Props to Target
Thursday, February 19, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with betting opportunities, especially in the player props market. SportsEdges.com has zeroed in on two high-confidence NBA player props to target: Moses Moody OVER 13.5 points + rebounds for the Warriors against the Celtics, and Onyeka Okongwu OVER 1.5 threes for the Hawks versus the 76ers. These picks are backed by scorching recent hit rates and favorable matchups.
Moses Moody - POINTS_REBOUNDS OVER 13.5
Moses Moody has been on fire lately, clearing 13.5 points + rebounds at a perfect 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 70% across the last 20. The Warriors wing is stepping up amid injuries and rotation tweaks, delivering consistent production in expanded minutes.
The Statistical Edge
Moody is averaging 14.2 points + rebounds over his last 10 outings while logging 28.4 minutes per game, a role that has solidified with Golden State's depth issues. His efficiency from the field and glass-pounding tenacity make this prop a consistent winner, especially as he's exceeded the line by an average of 2.8 combined stats in recent action.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with Moody posting at least 14 points + rebounds each time, including a 18-point, 6-rebound explosion last outing.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), showcasing perfect consistency as his usage rate climbs to 22% amid teammate absences.
- L20 games: 70% success (14/20), proving long-term reliability even in tougher minutes rotations.
"Kawhi Leonard completed a tiebreaking three-point play with two seconds remaining to lift the visiting Los Angeles Clippers to a 105-102 comeback victory over the Houston Rockets on Wednesday."
Matchup Analysis
The Celtics rank 12th in opponent points allowed to small forwards but struggle against wings who crash the glass, yielding 6.2 rebounds per game to the position. With no H2H data available, Boston's perimeter defense focus leaves Moody room to operate inside.
Golden State enters with momentum from a recent win streak, and coaches have emphasized Moody's role in the second unit against Boston's deep bench. Projected game total sits at 228.5, favoring pace that boosts combo stats.
This prop is a lock based on Moody's trends, expanded role, and Boston's vulnerabilities.
Moses Moody
GSW vs BOS
Onyeka Okongwu - THREES OVER 1.5
Onyeka Okongwu is stretching the floor like never before, draining OVER 1.5 threes at a scorching 100% over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 80% across the last 20. The Hawks big man's improved shooting stroke is a game-changer in Atlanta's motion offense.
The Statistical Edge
Okongwu is connecting on 2.4 threes per game at a 41.2% clip from deep over his last 10 contests, averaging 26.1 minutes with 4.1 three-point attempts. His quick release and off-ball movement have turned him into a reliable perimeter threat from the center position.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), knocking down at least 2 threes nightly, highlighted by a 4-for-6 performance Wednesday.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), with volume up due to Atlanta's spacing emphasis and his green light from beyond the arc.
- L20 games: 80% success (16/20), establishing him as a long-term threes asset despite his traditional big-man build.
"Kawhi Leonard completed a tiebreaking three-point play with two seconds remaining to lift the visiting Los Angeles Clippers to a 105-102 comeback victory over the Houston Rockets on Wednesday."
Matchup Analysis
Philadelphia ranks 22nd in opponent threes allowed to centers, giving up 1.8 makes per game from the position due to poor closeout discipline. H2H data shows Okongwu hitting the prop at a 50% rate in 2 games against the Sixers, with room to exploit their frontcourt gaps.
The Hawks are riding a hot streak post-All-Star break, with coaching tweaks opening more three-point looks for bigs in high-total games projected at 225 points. Philly's injury-riddled defense amplifies the advantage.
This prop is primed to cash given Okongwu's heater and the matchup edge.
Onyeka Okongwu
ATL vs PHI