NBA Picks for Sunday, March 8, 2026: Alexandre Sarr Points + Rebounds & P.J. Washington Threes Props to Target
Sunday, March 8, 2026, features a loaded NBA slate packed with player prop betting opportunities at SportsEdges.com. We're honing in on two high-confidence NBA player props: Alexandre Sarr points + rebounds over 19.5 when the Wizards host the Pelicans, and P.J. Washington threes over 0.5 as the Mavericks battle the Raptors. These picks are backed by elite recent hit rates and exploitable matchups for serious bettors.
Alexandre Sarr - Points + Rebounds Over 19.5
Alexandre Sarr has emerged as a double-double threat for Washington, consistently clearing 19.5 points + rebounds at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, a scorching 90% in the last 10, and a solid 75% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Sarr's expanded role in the Wizards' offense has led to increased touches and minutes, averaging over 30 minutes per game lately with combined points and rebounds pushing past 22 per game in recent outings. His efficiency on both ends underscores the reliability of this prop, especially as he's become the focal point against smaller lineups.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), with three straight games over 22 points + rebounds including multiple double-doubles.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), fueled by role expansion and averaging 11 rebounds per game in that span.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), proving long-term reliability even in tough matchups.
No recent news available.
Matchup Analysis
The Pelicans sit in the 24th percentile for opponent points in the paint and 22nd in rebounds allowed to power forwards, setting up Sarr for a field day inside. With no H2H data available, New Orleans' tendency to switch defensively leaves gaps for Sarr's athleticism and rebounding prowess.
Washington's matchup comes amid a Pelicans team struggling on the road, projected for a high-scoring affair with a total over 225 points, boosting possessions for Sarr's stat-stuffing.
This prop is a lock based on Sarr's trends, usage, and the Pelicans' defensive vulnerabilities.
Alexandre Sarr
WAS vs NOP
P.J. Washington - Threes Over 0.5
P.J. Washington is lighting it up from deep for Dallas, draining at least one three in a perfect 100% of his last 5 games, 90% over the last 10, and 65% across the last 20, making the 0.5 threes line a steal.
The Statistical Edge
Washington's volume from beyond the arc has ramped up with the Mavericks leaning on his spacing, attempting over 4 threes per game recently at a 38% clip. His consistency as a catch-and-shoot threat positions this prop for another cash, particularly in games where Dallas pushes the pace.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), connecting on multiple threes in four of those contests.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), with increased minutes and shot attempts highlighting his growing role.
- L20 games: 65% success (13/20), solid long-term even against tighter defenses.
No recent news available.
Matchup Analysis
Toronto ranks 27th in opponent three-point percentage allowed and 3rd-worst in threes given up to forwards, a dream scenario for Washington's perimeter game. Absent H2H data, the Raptors' perimeter lapses play right into Dallas' spacing needs.
The Mavericks enter hot off recent wins, with Luka Doncic drawing help defense to free Washington for open looks in a projected up-tempo clash totaling over 230 points.
This prop screams value and is primed to hit given Washington's streak and Toronto's porous wing defense.
P.J. Washington
DAL vs TOR
