NBA Picks for Monday, March 16, 2026: Jordan Goodwin Points Over & Baylor Scheierman Points + Rebounds Over Props to Target
Monday, March 16, 2026, brings exciting NBA action, including a clash between the Phoenix Suns and Boston Celtics, loaded with player prop betting opportunities. We're targeting two standout NBA player props in this matchup: Jordan Goodwin to go OVER 5.5 points for the Suns and Baylor Scheierman to exceed 11.5 points + rebounds for the Celtics. These picks are backed by strong recent trends and favorable matchups.
Jordan Goodwin - POINTS OVER 5.5
Jordan Goodwin has been a reliable scoring option off the bench lately, consistently clearing 5.5 points at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Goodwin's recent surge highlights his growing role in Phoenix's rotation, where he's averaging 8.4 points over his last 10 outings on 22.1 minutes per game, showing sharp efficiency from beyond the arc and at the line to push past this modest line with consistency.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with averages of 9.2 points on efficient shooting nights including multiple trips to the free-throw line.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), maintaining steady minutes amid Suns' backcourt injuries for consistent scoring punch.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), proving long-term reliability even in varied roles.
No recent news available.
Matchup Analysis
The Celtics rank middling in bench defense, allowing 14.2 points per game to opposing reserves, with no H2H data available but Boston's perimeter defenders often sagging off second-unit guards like Goodwin, opening drive-and-kick lanes.
Phoenix enters with momentum from a three-game win streak, projecting a total around 225 points in this spot, favoring up-tempo play where Goodwin thrives in transition.
This prop is a lock based on trends and context.
Jordan Goodwin
PHX vs BOS
Baylor Scheierman - POINTS_REBOUNDS OVER 11.5
Baylor Scheierman is delivering across scoring and boards, smashing 11.5 points + rebounds at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 80% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Scheierman's versatility shines with 7.8 points and 5.2 rebounds per game over his last 10, logging 26.4 minutes as Boston leans on his wing production for spacing and second-chance opportunities.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), highlighted by double-digit combined totals in four straight with aggressive rebounding on both ends.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), boosted by expanded role post-injury returns for reliable stat-stuffing.
- L20 games: 80% success (16/20), underscoring his steady floor in various lineups.
No recent news available.
Matchup Analysis
Suns' wing defense has leaked 12.8 points + rebounds to similar-sized forwards lately, with no H2H data but Phoenix's focus on stars leaving reserves like Scheierman free for boards and open looks.
Boston's home dominance projects a fast-paced affair with a 228-point total, amplifying Scheierman's chances in a rotation primed for contributions from young talent.
This prop is primed to cash given the statistical backing and matchup edges.
Baylor Scheierman
BOS vs PHX