NBA Picks for Friday, April 17, 2026: Brandin Podziemski Points & Threes Props to Target
Friday, April 17, 2026, features high-stakes NBA play-in tournament action as the Golden State Warriors battle the Phoenix Suns. With playoff implications on the line, NBA player props offer prime betting picks for sharp bettors. We're honing in on Brandin Podziemski with his points over 13.5 and threes over 1.5, backed by scorching recent hit rates.
Brandin Podziemski - POINTS OVER 13.5
Brandin Podziemski has emerged as a key scoring option for the Warriors, clearing 13.5 points at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Podziemski's scoring reliability has surged with increased minutes and ball-handling duties, averaging 15.4 points over his last 10 games while shooting 47% from the field. His usage rate has climbed to 22% amid Warriors' postseason push, fueling consistent output beyond the line.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), with four games of 14+ points including a 19-point explosion on Tuesday.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), boosted by expanded role post-injury returns and 32.1 minutes per game.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), proving long-term dependability as a secondary scorer.
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Matchup Analysis
The Suns struggle defending perimeter scorers, ranking 22nd in points allowed to shooting guards, where opponents average 17.2 points. In 4 H2H games, Podziemski hits the over at just 25%, but current form overrides small sample as Phoenix's backcourt wears down late.
Warriors advanced in play-in brackets, riding momentum into this shooter-friendly spot with projected total over 225 points. Draymond Green's postseason clarity signals full-throttle attack, elevating Podziemski's opportunities.
Trends, volume, and context make the points over 13.5 a lock to cash.
Brandin Podziemski
GSW vs PHX
Brandin Podziemski - THREES OVER 1.5
Brandin Podziemski's stroke from deep has been lethal, clearing 1.5 threes at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Podziemski is draining 2.8 threes per game over his last 10 at a 39% clip on 7.2 attempts, thriving in Golden State's motion offense. Elevated confidence and volume position him perfectly above the modest line.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), sinking 3+ threes in four contests, capped by 5-made Thursday.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), with attempts up 20% thanks to spot-up role expansion.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), reliable even in varied defensive schemes.
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Matchup Analysis
Phoenix ranks 24th in threes allowed to guards, surrendering 14.1 made triples per game, ripe for exploitation. H2H shows 50% hit rate in 4 games, aligning with Podziemski's volume against their switch-heavy defense.
Post-advancement buzz has Warriors firing on all cylinders in a pace-up affair versus Suns, per updated play-in brackets. Expect 95+ possessions, amplifying deep looks for Podziemski.
This threes over 1.5 is primed to hit based on hot streaks and favorable setup.
Brandin Podziemski
GSW vs PHX