NBA Picks for Friday, January 9, 2026: Collin Gillespie Points + Rebounds, Jake LaRavia Rebounds Props to Target
Friday, January 9, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with prime betting opportunities in player props. SportsEdges.com highlights two standout NBA player props to target: Collin Gillespie clearing 16.5 points + rebounds for the Suns against the Knicks, and Jake LaRavia surpassing 3.5 rebounds for the Lakers versus the Bucks. These picks boast impressive recent hit rates and favorable matchups amid shifting rotations from injuries.
Collin Gillespie - POINTS_REBOUNDS OVER 16.5
Collin Gillespie has been a reliable producer lately, consistently clearing 16.5 points + rebounds at an impressive 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Gillespie’s role in Phoenix’s rotation has solidified, averaging key contributions in points and boards that align perfectly with this prop line. His usage in extended minutes showcases consistency, especially as a secondary facilitator grabbing opportunistic rebounds.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), with double-digit points in four straight and rebounding surges off the bench.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), bolstered by increased role amid Suns' guard injuries and steady minutes above 25 per game.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), proving long-term reliability even in varied lineups.
"Welcome to the Fantasy Basketball Minutes Report. Every week, I will review each team’s updated minutes per game to see which players are seeing the court more or less than in previous weeks."
Matchup Analysis
The Knicks present a middling defensive front against combo guards, ranking in the league's middle tier for points allowed to reserves at 18.2 per game and vulnerable on the glass with 12th-worst opponent rebound rate. No H2H data exists, but New York's aggressive perimeter defense often leaves second-chance boards available for agile players like Gillespie.
Phoenix enters with momentum from recent wins, and the game's projected total of 225.5 points suggests pace that favors Gillespie's stat-stuffing style. Coaching adjustments from the latest minutes report highlight emerging guards filling gaps left by injuries league-wide.
This prop is a lock based on Gillespie's trends, hit rates, and exploitable Knicks matchup.
Jake LaRavia
LAL vs MIL
Jake LaRavia - REBOUNDS OVER 3.5
Jake LaRavia is surging on the boards for the Lakers, smashing 3.5 rebounds at a perfect 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 60% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
LaRavia’s rebounding prowess has spiked with more frontcourt touches, averaging 5.2 boards per game recently in expanded minutes. His athleticism shines in transition and box-outs, making this low line a high-value play.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), hauling in at least 4 boards each time amid Lakers' thin frontcourt.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), with role expansion following teammate injuries boosting his opportunities.
- L20 games: 60% success (12/20), showing improved reliability as a key rotational big.
"NBA Minutes Report: Injuries to Nikola Jokic, Austin Reaves, more have changed landscape."
Matchup Analysis
Milwaukee’s rebounding defense has faltered lately, allowing 46.8 rebounds per game to opponents (20th in NBA), particularly weak against wing forwards crashing the glass. No H2H data, but the Bucks' reliance on star power often exposes them to hustle plays from role players like LaRavia.
Lakers' recent minutes shifts due to Austin Reaves' injury open up 30+ minutes for LaRavia in a matchup projected over 228 points, favoring chaotic rebound battles. News notes on waiver wire activity underscore opportunistic roles in injury-riddled squads.
This rebound prop screams value and is primed to cash given LaRavia’s hot streak and Bucks' vulnerabilities.
Collin Gillespie
PHX vs NYK