NBA Picks for Monday, January 12, 2026: Egor Demin POINTS_REBOUNDS OVER 13.5, Sam Merrill POINTS_REBOUNDS OVER 14.5 Props to Target
Monday, January 12, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate ripe with player prop betting opportunities at SportsEdges.com. We're targeting two standout NBA player props: Egor Demin to go OVER 13.5 points + rebounds for the Brooklyn Nets against the Dallas Mavericks, and Sam Merrill to exceed 14.5 points + rebounds for the Cleveland Cavaliers versus the Utah Jazz.
Egor Demin - POINTS_REBOUNDS OVER 13.5
Egor Demin has been delivering consistent production in his role with the Nets, clearing 13.5 points + rebounds at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 80% in the last 10, and 60% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Demin's recent form shows remarkable consistency in combining points and rebounds, averaging 15.2 points + rebounds over his last 10 games while logging 28.4 minutes per game. His usage has stabilized as a key rotation player, making this prop highly reliable against favorable paces.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), with averages of 16.8 points + rebounds amid increased scoring touches.
- L10 games: 80% hit rate (8/10), bolstered by steady rebounding volume despite minor role fluctuations.
- L20 games: 60% success (12/20), proving long-term reliability in high-minute outings.
"Keldon Johnson poured in 25 points off the bench and Stephon Castle added 24 as the host San Antonio Spurs waylaid the Oklahoma City Thunder 130-110."
Matchup Analysis
The Mavericks rank in the bottom 10 for opponent points allowed to small forwards, yielding 18.2 points + 6.4 rebounds per game to the position, with no H2H data available to contradict Demin's trends. Dallas's fast-paced style plays into Brooklyn's transition opportunities, boosting rebound chances.
With the Nets pushing tempo in recent games and no major injury concerns, expect a high-scoring affair projected over 225.5 total points. Recent NBA momentum like the Spurs' streak highlights bench production value, aligning with Demin's role.
This prop is a lock based on Demin's hot streak and Dallas's defensive vulnerabilities.
Egor Demin
BKN vs DAL
Sam Merrill - POINTS_REBOUNDS OVER 14.5
Sam Merrill is scorching hot for the Cavaliers, smashing 14.5 points + rebounds at a perfect 100% clip over his last 5 games, 80% in the last 10, and 60% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Merrill's sharpshooting and opportunistic rebounding have elevated his stat line, posting 17.1 points + rebounds average in his last 10 appearances with 26.8 minutes per game. His consistency shines in Cleveland's spacing-heavy offense, minimizing variance.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), exploding for 19.4 points + rebounds on efficient volume.
- L10 games: 80% hit rate (8/10), with role expansion driving sustained output.
- L20 games: 60% success (12/20), underscoring dependable floor production.
"NBA roundup: Spurs knock off Thunder in matchup of West's best."
Matchup Analysis
Utah's perimeter defense struggles, allowing 16.8 points + 5.9 rebounds to shooting guards league-wide, and with no H2H data, Merrill's trends dominate. The Jazz's poor rebounding rate (46.2%) gifts extra opportunities for Cleveland's wings.
Cleveland rides strong form into this spot, mirroring league-wide bench explosions seen in recent roundups, with a projected total near 228 points favoring Merrill's minutes and shots.
Bank on Merrill clearing this line—trends and matchup scream value.
Sam Merrill
CLE vs UTA