NBA Picks for Wednesday, January 21, 2026: Evan Mobley Steals Over 0.5, Miles McBride Threes Over 1.5 Props to Target
Wednesday, January 21, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with prime betting opportunities in NBA player props. Sports bettors should zero in on two standout picks: Evan Mobley to clear 0.5 steals against the Charlotte Hornets and Miles McBride to exceed 1.5 threes versus the Brooklyn Nets.
These selections boast impressive recent hit rates, making them strong NBA player props for today's action.
Evan Mobley - STEALS OVER 0.5
Evan Mobley has been a steals machine lately, clearing 0.5 steals at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 65% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Mobley's defensive prowess shines through in his consistent steal production, averaging 1.2 steals per game over the last 10 outings while logging 34+ minutes nightly as Cleveland's anchor. His length and anticipation disrupt passing lanes, fueling this prop's reliability against sloppy offenses.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with at least one steal in every contest including two multi-steal efforts.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), bolstered by increased ball pressure in transition.
- L20 games: 65% success (13/20), proving long-term viability despite occasional quiet nights.
"Welcome to the Fantasy Basketball Minutes Report. Every week, I will review each team’s updated minutes per game to see which players are seeing the court more or less than in previous weeks."
Matchup Analysis
The Hornets rank in the bottom 5 for opponent steals allowed, coughing up 8.2 steals per game due to turnover-prone guards like LaMelo Ball. No H2H data exists, but Charlotte's 15.1% turnover rate plays right into Mobley's wheelhouse.
Cleveland enters with momentum after steady defensive showings, and Mobley's role remains unchanged amid a favorable projected total of 228 points that encourages chaos.
This prop is a lock based on trends and matchup edges.
Evan Mobley
CLE vs CHA
Miles McBride - THREES OVER 1.5
Miles McBride is heating up from deep, surpassing 1.5 threes at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 85% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
McBride's volume has spiked with 6.8 three-point attempts per game recently at a 42% clip, thriving in New York's up-tempo system that prioritizes guard spacing. His consistency from beyond the arc makes this one of the top NBA player props today.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), draining 3+ threes in four straight before a minor dip.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), aided by expanded role post-injury returns.
- L20 games: 85% success (17/20), highlighting elite long-term reliability.
"Julian Champagnie poured in career-high 36 points and set a team record with 11 3-pointers as the host San Antonio Spurs roared from behind to beat the New York Knicks 134-132 on Wednesday in a rematch of the NBA Cup final."
Matchup Analysis
Brooklyn's perimeter defense leaks like a sieve, allowing opponents to hit 37.2% of threes while ranking 27th in opponent three-pointers made per game. No H2H data, but the Nets' 12.8 fouls per game on wings opens driving lanes for kick-outs to McBride.
The Knicks seek redemption after a high-scoring loss to San Antonio in a 134-132 thriller, with McBride's minutes secure at 28+ per game in a revenge spot against Brooklyn.
This prop screams value with McBride's hot hand and Nets' vulnerabilities.
Miles McBride
NYK vs BKN
