NBA Picks for Wednesday, January 28, 2026: Jamal Shead Assists & Donte DiVincenzo Threes Props to Target
Wednesday, January 28, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with prime betting opportunities in player props. Sports bettors should zero in on Jamal Shead's assists prop when the Toronto Raptors face the New York Knicks and Donte DiVincenzo's threes prop as the Minnesota Timberwolves take on the Dallas Mavericks. These NBA player props stand out due to scorching recent hit rates and favorable matchups, making them must-target betting picks for the day.
Jamal Shead - ASSISTS OVER 4.5
Jamal Shead has been a facilitating machine for the Raptors lately, clearing 4.5 assists at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 70% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Sheed's playmaking has elevated with increased minutes and ball-handling duties, averaging 6.2 assists per game over his last 10 outings while logging 32+ minutes consistently. His assist numbers show remarkable consistency against varied defenses, positioning him perfectly to smash this line again in a high-pace matchup.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), with 6+ assists in four straight before a quieter night.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), boosted by his expanded role post-injury returns around the team.
- L20 games: 70% success (14/20), proving long-term reliability even in tough rotations.
"Scottie Barnes made the game-winning free throw in the final second of overtime to help the Toronto Raptors defeat visiting the Philadelphia 76ers 116-115 on Sunday in the first game of a back-to-back between the teams. "
Matchup Analysis
The Knicks rank in the bottom 10 for assists allowed to point guards, surrendering 8.2 per game to the position, which plays right into Shead's strengths as a quick distributor. In head-to-head action, he's hit this prop at a perfect 100% rate across 2 games versus New York, exploiting their aggressive perimeter defense that leaves driving lanes open for kick-outs.
Toronto rides high after Scottie Barnes' clutch heroics in their overtime thriller over Philadelphia, signaling strong team momentum heading into this back-to-back spot. With the Raptors projected for a 225+ total in a revenge-minded clash, Shead's usage in the pick-and-roll gameplan gives him ample chances to rack up dimes.
This prop is a lock based on Shead's trends, head-to-head dominance, and Toronto's offensive flow.
Jamal Shead
TOR vs NYK
Donte DiVincenzo - THREES OVER 2.5
Donte DiVincenzo is lighting it up from deep for Minnesota, clearing 2.5 threes at a perfect 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
DiVincenzo's volume from beyond the arc has surged to 7.8 attempts per game over the last 10, connecting at a blistering 41% clip amid Minnesota's spacing emphasis. His consistency in spot-up situations makes this prop a reliable bet night in and night out.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), draining 4+ threes in each of the last four contests.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), with elevated minutes solidifying his sixth-man role.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), underscoring his status as a long-range threat regardless of matchup.
"The Minnesota Timberwolves edged out the visiting Spurs 104-103, thanks to Edwards' bank shot with 16.8 seconds remaining on the clock.... Anthony Edwards led Minnesota’s last-minute fightback to beat San Antonio."
Matchup Analysis
Dallas sits middle-of-the-pack in threes allowed, giving up 14.2 per game to opposing wings, a vulnerability DiVincenzo can exploit with no prior head-to-head data to worry about. The Mavericks' switch-heavy scheme often leaves shooters like him open on the weak side, perfect for his catch-and-shoot prowess.
The Timberwolves are buzzing off Anthony Edwards' game-winner against San Antonio, fueling confidence in a high-scoring affair versus a potent Dallas attack projected over 230 total points. DiVincenzo thrives in these fast-paced games, feasting off kick-outs from stars like Edwards.
Bank on DiVincenzo draining this threes prop with his red-hot form and ideal context.
Donte DiVincenzo
MIN vs DAL
