NBA Picks for Sunday, February 1, 2026: Collin Murray-Boyles Assists & Kawhi Leonard PRA Props to Target
Sunday, February 1, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with prime betting opportunities in player props. As the trade deadline looms on February 5, teams are jockeying for position, creating volatile but predictable stat lines for savvy bettors. Today, we're targeting Collin Murray-Boyles OVER 2.5 assists for the Toronto Raptors against Utah and Kawhi Leonard OVER 31.5 points + rebounds + assists for the Clippers versus Phoenix in these high-confidence NBA player props.
Collin Murray-Boyles - ASSISTS OVER 2.5
Collin Murray-Boyles has been dishing the ball at a high clip lately, clearing 2.5 assists at a 100% rate over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 55% across the last 20. The young Raptor guard has stepped into a bigger playmaking role amid Toronto's rebuild.
The Statistical Edge
Murray-Boyles is averaging 3.8 assists per game over his last 10 outings while logging 28.2 minutes nightly, showing increased usage in the pick-and-roll and transition. His assist numbers have surged with better decision-making, making this prop a consistent bet despite some longer-term variance.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with at least 3 assists in each, including a 6-assist outburst versus a weak perimeter defense.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), bolstered by role expansion after a minor injury to a teammate.
- L20 games: 55% success (11/20), reliable in high-pace games but dipping against elite guard defenders.
"Every week, I will review each team’s updated minutes per game to see which players are seeing the court more or less than in previous weeks."
Matchup Analysis
The Utah Jazz rank 25th in opponent assists allowed to guards, surrendering 8.2 per game in their last 10, with no H2H data available due to limited prior meetings. Their perimeter defense struggles in transition, perfectly suiting Murray-Boyles' style.
Toronto enters with momentum from a three-game win streak, projecting a 228.5 total that favors up-tempo play. With the trade deadline buzz around the league, Raptors coach Darko Rajakovic has leaned on young guards like Murray-Boyles for creation.
This prop is a lock based on trends, matchup, and increased role.
Collin Murray-Boyles
TOR vs UTA
Kawhi Leonard - POINTS_REBOUNDS_ASSISTA OVER 31.5
Kawhi Leonard remains a stat-sheet stuffer, smashing 31.5 points + rebounds + assists at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and a robust 85% across the last 20. The Clippers star is thriving in his all-around role.
The Statistical Edge
Leonard is posting 25.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game recently, averaging 36.4 PRA over L10 while playing 34.1 minutes. His efficiency and volume make this line undervalued.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), clearing with double-doubles and including a 42 PRA masterpiece.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), consistent even in blowouts due to steady minutes.
- L20 games: 85% success (17/20), elite long-term reliability for a veteran like Kawhi.
"With at least 41 games in the books for every NBA team, let's take stock of what we've learned from the first half of a 2025-26 campaign already full of surprise contenders, historic performances and ..."
Matchup Analysis
Phoenix ranks 22nd in PRA allowed to small forwards, giving up 33.1 per game lately, and no H2H data exists from recent clashes. The Suns' frontcourt rotation falters against versatile wings, opening lanes for Leonard.
The Clippers boast a 4-1 record in their last five, with a projected 225.5 total signaling competitive pace. Amid league-wide trade rumors like those swirling around Giannis, LA's core remains intact, maximizing Kawhi's touches.
This prop is primed to cash given Leonard's form and favorable context.
Kawhi Leonard
LAC vs PHX
