NBA Picks for Saturday, February 21, 2026: Tre Jones Assists Over 3.5 & Points + Assists Over 13.5 Props to Target
Saturday, February 21, 2026, features a packed NBA slate, headlined by the Chicago Bulls hosting the Detroit Pistons. NBA player props offer sharp betting opportunities, especially with Tre Jones delivering two standout bets: assists over 3.5 and points + assists over 13.5.
These NBA betting picks shine due to Jones' scorching recent hit rates and a favorable matchup, making them must-targets for props enthusiasts.
Tre Jones - ASSISTS OVER 3.5
Tre Jones has emerged as the Bulls' primary playmaker, clearing 3.5 assists at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 90% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Jones is averaging 5.6 assists over his last 10 games while logging 31.2 minutes per contest, showcasing his expanded role in Chicago's offense amid post-trade deadline adjustments. His assist-to-turnover ratio of 3.2:1 highlights the efficiency driving this prop's consistency.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with an average of 6.8 assists fueled by double-digit scoring from teammates off his passes.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), sustaining production despite varying game scripts and increased ball-handling duties.
- L20 games: 90% success (18/20), proving long-term reliability as the Bulls' lead guard.
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Matchup Analysis
Detroit ranks 24th in assists allowed to opposing point guards, surrendering 7.9 per game, with their backcourt defense vulnerable to penetration and kick-outs. No H2H data exists, but the Pistons' 15.2 opponent assists allowed in losses plays right into Jones' wheelhouse.
Post-All-Star Weekend, both teams push pace for tune-up games, projecting an over/under of 228.5 points that boosts playmaking chances. Chicago's recent minutes distribution favors Jones in high-possession spots.
This prop is a lock based on trends and matchup edges.
Tre Jones
CHI vs DET
Tre Jones - POINTS_ASSISTS OVER 13.5
Tre Jones continues his hot streak by exceeding 13.5 points + assists at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 85% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Averaging 18.4 points + assists combined over the last 10 games in 31.8 minutes, Jones has thrived with scoring bursts alongside his distributing. His usage rate of 24.1% reflects growing trust from coaches in crunch time.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), posting 20.2 points + assists average amid efficient shooting and play setup.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), consistent output through role solidification and fewer turnovers.
- L20 games: 85% success (17/20), reliable floor with upside in faster-paced outings.
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Matchup Analysis
The Pistons struggle against combo guards, allowing 21.7 points + assists to the position league-wide. Absent H2H data, Detroit's 27th-ranked defense on drives creates ideal conditions for Jones' dual-threat production.
With All-Star festivities wrapping up, expect elevated totals and volume for Bulls facilitators, targeting 230+ points in this affair. Jones' recent momentum post-deadline cements the value.
This NBA player prop screams value and is primed to cash decisively.
Tre Jones
CHI vs DET