NBA Picks for Friday, April 3, 2026: Tre Jones Points & Malik Monk Assists Props to Target
Friday, April 3, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate loaded with prime betting opportunities in NBA player props. We're targeting Tre Jones to go over 14.5 points against the Knicks and Malik Monk to exceed 4.5 assists versus the Pelicans. These picks stand out based on scorching recent hit rates and favorable matchups.
Tre Jones - POINTS OVER 14.5
Tre Jones has been a scoring machine for the Bulls lately, clearing 14.5 points at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 70% across the last 20. His increased usage in the Chicago offense has unlocked consistent production from the point guard spot.
The Statistical Edge
Jones is showing elite consistency in his scoring role, averaging 16.8 points over the last 5 games while playing 32.4 minutes per night. His shot volume has risen to 14.2 attempts recently, boosting his efficiency to 48% from the field, making this prop a strong play against a Knicks defense vulnerable to perimeter scoring.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with averages of 17.2 points on 12.6 shots and improved free-throw volume.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), maintaining steady minutes despite one off-night due to blowout.
- L20 games: 70% success (14/20), solid long-term reliability as primary ball-handler.
Matchup Analysis
The Knicks rank in the bottom half for points allowed to point guards, giving up 15.2 points per game to the position. H2H data shows Jones hitting this line just 33% in 3 games versus New York, but recent form overrides that small sample with their backcourt in flux.
Chicago enters with momentum from a three-game win streak, projecting a total around 225 points in a pace-up spot. Knicks' recent road fatigue adds to the Bulls' home edge.
This prop is a lock based on Jones' trends and the Knicks' defensive lapses.
Tre Jones
CHI vs NYK
Malik Monk - ASSISTS OVER 4.5
Malik Monk is dishing dimes at a high rate for Sacramento, surpassing 4.5 assists in 100% of his last 5 games, 80% over the last 10, and 45% in the last 20. His bench sparkplug role has expanded with more playmaking responsibilities.
The Statistical Edge
Monk's assist numbers have exploded lately, posting 6.4 assists per game over the L5 while logging 28.6 minutes. He's connecting on 2.1 assists to bigs in pick-and-rolls, exploiting defenses focused on De'Aaron Fox, with a 85% usage bump off the bench.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), averaging 7.0 assists with 11.2 potential assists created.
- L10 games: 80% hit rate (8/10), consistent even in varied lineups and pace.
- L20 games: 45% success (9/20), trending up with solidified sixth-man role.
Matchup Analysis
New Orleans struggles against bench guards, allowing 5.8 assists per game to reserves. No H2H data exists, but the Pelicans' perimeter defense ranks 22nd, ripe for Monk's drive-and-kick game.
Sacramento's offense projects for 118 points in a fast-paced affair, with Monk thriving in Mike Brown's motion sets against a Pelicans squad dealing with injuries.
This prop is primed to cash given Monk's hot streak and matchup advantages.
Malik Monk
SAC vs NOP
