NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 25, 2026: Joel Embiid Points + Assists and Points Props to Target
Wednesday, March 25, 2026, features a marquee matchup between the Philadelphia 76ers and Chicago Bulls, loaded with prime NBA player props for bettors. Joel Embiid stands out with two can't-miss opportunities: Points + Assists OVER 26.5 and Points OVER 22.5 against a Bulls defense vulnerable inside. These picks leverage Embiid's elite hit rates and recent dominance for strong value.
Joel Embiid - POINTS + ASSISTS OVER 26.5
Joel Embiid has been a points-and-assists machine for the Sixers, clearing 26.5 points + assists at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 90% across the last 20. His dual-threat scoring and playmaking make this prop a reliable bet in high-usage spots.
The Statistical Edge
Embiid's usage remains sky-high, averaging 32.4 points + assists over his last 10 outings while logging 35+ minutes per game. This consistency stems from his role as the Sixers' primary creator, especially with improved health and team spacing boosting his efficiency.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with averages of 34.2 points + assists including a 42-point, 8-assist explosion versus Atlanta.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), maintaining 30+ points + assists amid increased assist volume from better ball movement.
- L20 games: 90% success (18/20), proving long-term reliability even in tougher defensive schemes.
"Paul George discusses 25-game suspension for first time ahead of return to action: On Tuesday afternoon, Paul George met with reporters at the Sixers' practice facility for his first media availability since being suspended for 25 games...."
Matchup Analysis
The Bulls rank 24th in points + assists allowed to opposing centers, yielding 28.7 per game while struggling to contain pick-and-roll creators like Embiid. H2H splits show 50% (1/2 games) for this prop, but Chicago's recent frontcourt injuries exacerbate their weaknesses.
With Paul George nearing return, the Sixers' offense projects for a 225+ total, giving Embiid more open looks and assist chances. Chicago's 3-7 skid in last 10 adds pressure, favoring Philly's stars in a bounce-back spot.
This Points + Assists OVER 26.5 is a lock based on Embiid's trends, Bulls' defensive lapses, and team momentum.
Joel Embiid
PHI vs CHI
Joel Embiid - POINTS OVER 22.5
Embiid's scoring prowess shines through, eclipsing 22.5 points at 100% over his last 5 games, 100% in the last 10, and 85% across the last 20. As Philadelphia's go-to bucket-getter, he thrives in these lines against middling defenses.
The Statistical Edge
Averaging 29.8 points on 62% shooting lately, Embiid's post dominance and free-throw volume (12.4 attempts per game in L10) ensure he clears this mark effortlessly. His minutes load and shot attempts underscore unmatched reliability.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), dropping 31+ points each time, highlighted by a 38-point clinic against Milwaukee.
- L10 games: 100% hit rate (10/10), with no dip despite back-to-back schedules or foul trouble.
- L20 games: 85% success (17/20), solid long-term even accounting for two rest games.
"Paul George discusses 25-game suspension for first time ahead of return to action: On Tuesday afternoon, Paul George met with reporters at the Sixers' practice facility for his first media availability since being suspended for 25 games...."
Matchup Analysis
Chicago ranks 22nd in points allowed to centers (26.4 per game), with Nikola Vucevic's slow foot speed no match for Embiid's physicality. H2H at 50% (1/2) improves in Philly, where Embiid exploits home cooking.
Sixers' projected 118+ points with George's potential return stretches the floor, creating mismatches. Bulls' 4th-worst paint defense over last 10 games sets up Embiid for another scoring rampage.
Points OVER 22.5 is primed to hit given Embiid's scorching streak and this exploitable matchup.
Joel Embiid
PHI vs CHI
