NBA Picks for Thursday, January 22, 2026: Wendell Carter Jr. Assists, Jalen Suggs Rebounds Props to Target
Thursday, January 22, 2026, brings a packed NBA slate with prime betting opportunities in player props, especially as Orlando Magic face the Charlotte Hornets. We're targeting two standout NBA player props from the Magic: Wendell Carter Jr. over 1.5 assists and Jalen Suggs over 2.5 rebounds. These picks leverage scorching recent hit rates and favorable matchups against a Hornets squad vulnerable on the glass and in transition.
Wendell Carter Jr. - ASSISTS OVER 1.5
Wendell Carter Jr. has elevated his playmaking role for Orlando, clearing 1.5 assists at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20. The center's vision from the high post has been key in Orlando's motion offense.
The Statistical Edge
Carter Jr. is averaging 2.8 assists over his last 10 outings while logging 32.4 minutes per game, showing increased responsibility in the pick-and-roll alongside shooters like Jalen Suggs. His assist numbers spike against smaller frontcourts, where he exploits mismatches for kickouts, making this prop highly consistent.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with at least 2 assists in four straight amid Orlando's up-tempo pace.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), bolstered by role expansion after minor lineup tweaks.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), proving long-term reliability even in blowouts.
"The NBA goes international this week as the Memphis Grizzlies and Orlando Magic are set to lock horns for their next match in Berlin’s Uber Arena on Thursday, initiating a three-year slate..."
Matchup Analysis
Charlotte ranks 27th in opponent assists allowed to opposing centers, coughing up 2.4 per game due to poor closeouts and weak perimeter help defense. Against Orlando in 2 H2H games, Carter has hit this prop at a 50% rate, but with Charlotte's frontcourt depleted, expect more dump-offs and secondary assists.
Orlando enters with momentum post their international clash, projected for a high-scoring 225 total points game per models. As East contenders eye the trade deadline, Magic coach Jamahl Mosley emphasizes ball movement, favoring Carter's facilitating.
This prop is a lock based on Carter's trends, Charlotte's defensive lapses, and Orlando's offensive flow.
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL vs CHA
Jalen Suggs - REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
Jalen Suggs continues crashing the glass aggressively, clearing 2.5 rebounds at an 80% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 75% across the last 20. The guard's athleticism shines in transition and on the offensive end.
The Statistical Edge
Suggs is pulling down 3.6 rebounds per game lately in 34.2 minutes, thriving in Orlando's switch-heavy scheme where he hunts boards off misses. His rates climb versus teams weak on the perimeter glass, aligning perfectly for sustained production.
- L5 games: 80% hit rate (4/5), grabbing at least 3 boards in high-pace outings.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), with consistent minutes and hustle plays.
- L20 games: 75% success (15/20), reliable even against physical defenses.
"The trade deadline is a month away, and though a deal is yet to be made this season, teams are checking on players around the league with the hopes of making the right move to go on a title run."
Matchup Analysis
The Hornets rank 24th in defensive rebounding percentage, allowing guards 3.1 rebounds per game due to LaMelo Ball's focus on scoring and young bigs like Miles Bridges getting pulled out of position. No H2H data exists, but Charlotte's chaos defense plays into Suggs' strengths.
Fresh off global exposure, Orlando's depth chart favors Suggs in a fast-paced tilt projected over 220 points. With trade rumors swirling for East squads, expect aggressive play to showcase value.
This rebound prop screams value, locked in by Suggs' surge and Charlotte's glass vulnerabilities.
Jalen Suggs
ORL vs CHA
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