NBA Picks for Friday, January 23, 2026: Kevin Durant Rebounds + Assists & RJ Barrett Points Props to Target
Friday, January 23, 2026, brings a loaded NBA slate packed with prime betting opportunities in player props. SportsEdges.com zeroes in on two high-confidence NBA player props: Kevin Durant clearing 9.5 Rebounds + Assists against the Pistons and RJ Barrett surpassing 15.5 Points versus the Trail Blazers. These picks are fueled by scorching recent hit rates and favorable matchups.
Kevin Durant - REBOUNDS_ASSISTS OVER 9.5
Kevin Durant has dominated the glass and playmaking duties lately for the Rockets, clearing 9.5 rebounds + assists at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 85% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Durant's expanded role in Houston's offense has boosted his combined rebounds and assists, averaging 11.2 over the last 10 games while logging 36+ minutes per contest. His consistency shines through extended minutes and increased usage, making this prop a reliable target against Detroit's middling defense.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), with Durant posting double-digit combined stats in blowouts and tight games alike.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), maintaining production despite one off-night from poor shooting efficiency.
- L20 games: 85% success (17/20), underscoring long-term reliability as Houston's primary facilitator.
Matchup Analysis
The Pistons rank in the bottom 10 for opponent rebounds + assists allowed to small forwards, surrendering 10.8 per game to the position. No H2H data exists, but Detroit's aggressive trapping leaves Durant free for boards and dishes.
Houston enters with momentum from a three-game win streak, projecting a high-scoring total over 225 points in this spot. Durant's veteran presence thrives in fast-paced games like this.
This prop is a lock based on Durant's trends, volume, and Detroit's defensive gaps.
Kevin Durant
HOU vs DET
RJ Barrett - POINTS OVER 15.5
RJ Barrett is surging offensively for Toronto, eclipsing 15.5 points at a 100% clip over his last 5 games, 90% in the last 10, and 80% across the last 20.
The Statistical Edge
Barrett's scoring efficiency has spiked with 18.4 points per game average over the last 10, fueled by 16+ field goal attempts nightly and improved free-throw volume. Toronto's reliance on his mid-range game ensures steady output.
- L5 games: 100% hit rate (5/5), exploding for 20+ in four straight amid increased usage.
- L10 games: 90% hit rate (9/10), consistent even with variable minutes from lineup tweaks.
- L20 games: 80% success (16/20), proving durable scoring punch league-wide.
Matchup Analysis
Portland's perimeter defense leaks 17.2 points per game to shooting guards, with poor closeout discipline that Barrett exploits on drives. No H2H data, but the Blazers' pace plays into his transition scoring.
The Raptors are pushing tempo in recent outings, with this matchup eyeing a total around 220 points. Barrett's volume should surge against Portland's depleted backcourt.
This prop stands out as a can't-miss bet given Barrett's form and the matchup edge.
RJ Barrett
TOR vs POR
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